The parliamentary coalition in the Ukrainian government has fallen apart. The UDAR party, led by Vitaly Klitschko but largely believed to be Poroshenko's party now, and the 'Svoboda', led by Oleh Tyahnybok, have left the coalition. Prime Minister Yatsenyuk has publicly resigned.
This comes at a time when changes to the budget in the context of the anti-terrorism operation (ATO) have not been adopted, neither has the law on combating terrorism. The Ministry of Finance has reported that starting from August 1, there will be no money to pay the service personnel in the ATO. Changes in the state budget are needed immediately, however there as been no progress. A brawl broke out in the parliament earlier this week about, among other disagreements, a decree that would increase Ukraine's military reserves and conscript males under 50 to fight pro-Russian forces.
Some have analysed the situation as being one where President Poroshenko has led UDAR out of the coalition at the moment when Yatsenyuk proposed that Verkhovna Rada vote on unpopular bills, in particular, regarding budget sequestering. Turchynov, who is the head of the Verkhovna Rada, publicly called Poroshenko's move a 'de facto stab in the back to Yatsenyuk’s government'. This backstabbing was confirmed by members of “Batkivshchina” faction (Yatsenyuk and Turchynov's party) leaving the coalition, in particular, Tomenko, Aryev and Bryhynets. These members are now seen as being 'Poroshenko’s people.'
Poroshenko wrote an open letter to the Head of the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine Oleksandr Turchynov, stating that July 25, 2014, at the latest, the Verkhovna Rada must hold a vote of confidence in the Cabinet of Ministers. Because he states that the collapse of the coalition in the Verkhovna Rada is not a legal basis for the resignation of the government.
What will Poroshenko do now? There are two options. First, really nominate his own Prime Minister and accept responsibility for all, absolutely all, state of things, with all the negativity. During the electoral campaign, it is not the best of fates. There is another option. Ask Yatsenyuk not to leave the government, but split the negativity from the reforms with him. What Poroshenko will choose is unknown. But it is already obvious that he will be unable to put all the blame of Yatsenyuk and Turchynov. Read more here
In other news, pro-Russian insurgents are rumoured to be preparing attacks in Slovyansk schools. In one local school, four explosive devices have been found. A lab for the production of explosives was set up by insurgents on the premises of a kindergarten. The
'rebel' groups have often been described as disorganised, chronically dysfunctional, and often drunk. This has been confirmed by the OESC and Amnesty International Human Rights missions to warm of the rise in violence: 'a
climate of lawlessness prevails in the east with an increase in criminality, killings, abductions and detentions by the armed groups,' said UN Assistant Secretary-General for Human Rights Ivan Simonovic. The Europe and Central Asia director at Human Rights Watch,
Hugh Williamson,
has said that these groups are 'out of control' and 'abusing people at will.'
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