16 March 2014

Today, the referendum took place in Crimea. Crimeans (although many, including groups of Crimean Tatars boycotted) ‘voted’. The freedom of the vote is a matter of debate, especially given the 21,000 Russian troops who with their guns are trying to prove the legality of the referendum. The referendum also offered no option that would maintain Crimea’s current status of limited autonomy from the Ukrainian government.  Some noted that the polls felt like ‘Soviet-style’ elections: a festive atmosphere with music, decorations, baked goods and childrens’ events.

As has been noted by many throughout the past weeks, the outcome of the referendum was already known. People celebrated a victorious ‘reunion with mother Russia’ into the night in Simferopol and other Crimean cities.

Meanwhile, Ukraine’s government has begun real preparations for war. A law allowing for the formation of a National Guard (to consist primarily of former Maidan Self-Defense forces) was passed, troop movements and training has intensified, and mass mobilization of reserves is set to begin this week.

Fear, tension and uncertainty continues, with many throughout Ukraine and Crimea voicing real concern that more blood will be shed from people asking for peace.

And what are the consequences of this referendum? What is Putin after? For this, I include excerpts from an update from Mychailo Wynnyckyj, Professor Kyiv-Mohyla Academy, who is in Kyiv and is involved in ongoing discussions and meetings:

A war between the two countries has already begun (whether the Ukrainians shot or not), and it will not end until “Maidan” as a concept (i.e. embodying direct democracy, people-power, and a western values orientation) is destroyed.  Putin is determined to destroy Ukraine, and to correct what he sees as the grave historical mistake of 1991 (i.e. Ukrainian independence). ... Russia’s invasion of eastern and southern Ukraine will be ‘justified’ by the Kremlin as an operation aimed at protecting the interests of Russian-speakers from an illegitimate, fascist, intolerant and anarchic post-revolutionary Kyiv government.
 


Comments