16 April 2014



Criticism from Ukrainians continues to be aimed at the Ukrainian government’s so-called anti-terrorism operation (ATO). Ukrainian special-forces have been sent to Donestk and Luhansk regions, but with orders that their action must be very limited. Many Ukrainians are frustrated that more action is not being taken to do what is needed to stop the separatists and reclaim state buildings. In response, the director of the SBU Anti-Terrorist Centre has stated that the operation is aimed at curbing aggression, not killing people.

There are multiple layers of this situation: Firstly, the Ukrainian military is significantly underfunded and cannot withstand a prolonged presence in the Eastern regions. Already some troops dispatched to smaller towns have been left without food and supplies. They have relied on locals for food and water.

Secondly, many of the army personnel have promised locals that they will not shoot fellow Ukrainians, no matter what orders come from Kyiv. Some commentators have interpreted this as an indication that the Ukrainian armed forces are siding with the separatists. This is not, however, a shift in loyalty. Rather, Ukrainian soldiers are refusing to engage in civil war—they are, by recognising their community and country, ‘fighting’ for unity.

Thirdly, the Ukrainian government is due to enter into meetings with Russia, the EU and the US beginning tomorrow, 17 April, in Geneva. They cannot, no matter what the protestors outside Parliament in Kyiv are demanding, take action that would be seen as setting off a civil war.

The Ukrainian government is in the most difficult situation. They are paralysed in terms of their governance and economic capacity. They are now fighting decades, almost of century, of corrupt leadership, trying to govern a population rift with fear, and fighting against the Kremlin’s propaganda machine.

Meanwhile, Russian troops continue to maintain their position at the Ukrainian border. And Russian officials (the Kremlin), maintain contact with the separatist movements in Ukraine. The armed ‘anti-Ukrainian’ forces are making no secret of the fact that their orders come from Moscow.

In Ukraine, the leader of SBU Anti-Terrorist Centre has reported that the number of Russian ‘saboteurs’ in Donetsk is steadily growing: From 150 ‘green men’ on Sunday evening to at least 300 today.

Russian media announced that Yanukovych will return to Donetsk on Easter. In response, the acting Prosecutor General of Ukraine reminded that four criminal proceedings are currently underway against the ousted Ukrainian President.

However, also today, the Russian Minister of Economic Development was forced to admit that due to the ‘deterioration of the international situation’ and ‘capital flight,’ the Russian economy is undergoing a slow-down. Simultaneously, the United States declared its readiness to introduce new sanctions against Moscow.
It is important to point out that few weeks ago the European Commission warned about the economic consequences of the situation in Ukraine. They explain that the negative consequences of the crisis on Ukraine and Russia will extend all over the Euro zone due mainly the Russian energy dependence of some countries.

Finally, a Ukrainian member of parliament, the former deputy minister of internal affairs, claims he has received information from ‘reputable sources’ that Russia is planning to stage fascist demonstrations in Western Ukraine cities. The plan is to terrify the population in Eastern Ukraine and undermine international support: ‘Everything will appear as if some Ukrainians with fascist flags and evoking Hitler are demonstrating in Lviv.’


However, Russian TV channels have already been restored and Ukrainian channels undermined in the region of Donetsk. Then, Russia is already able to continue their fear-mongering and lies about fascists running Kyiv and Western Ukraine.

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